Kaspa Proposal Seeks Ownerless Prediction Market by End of 2026
A preliminary Kaspa-based design proposes fund-backed outcome tokens and a resolution-based reward system without a central beneficiary.
A preliminary Kaspa-based design proposes fund-backed outcome tokens and a resolution-based reward system without a central beneficiary. Uniswap (UNI) is trading at $6.18, down 2.8% since this brief published. This is an original TLT brief synthesising 3 outlets (Crypto Economy, Crypto.news, CoinCodex), plus live market data, as of Thu, 12 Nov 2026 01:15:03 UTC.
The proposal could introduce an ownerless prediction-market structure directly to Kaspa’s base layer, but its preliminary design also raises concerns about manipulation in thin markets.
- Kaspa prediction-market proposal targets a mainnet launch by end-2026
- Design uses fund-backed binary tokens with equal issuance
- Developers warned about liquidity manipulation in smaller markets
- KAS fell 2.05% over 24 hours and 9.65% over seven days
Crypto Economy and Crypto.news both report that Manyfest outlined an ownerless prediction market on Kaspa’s base layer with tradable outcome tokens and a mainnet release targeted for late 2026. Crypto Economy provides additional design details, including equal issuance of fund-backed binary tokens, a resolution-based reward scheme and warnings about liquidity manipulation, while Crypto.news identifies Manyfest as Sivan Helfer. CoinCodex’s supplied summary focuses on a Uniswap price forecast rather than the Kaspa proposal, so it does not independently corroborate the development in the material provided.
Kaspa developer Manyfest and contributor Bit Cat are working on a preliminary protocol for a decentralized prediction market on Kaspa’s base layer. The project is designed around an ownerless structure without a central beneficiary, and the stated target is a mainnet release by the end of 2026. Crypto.news reports that the concept includes tokens representing individual market outcomes.
The proposal’s mechanics include equal issuance of fund-backed binary tokens, according to Crypto Economy. It also outlines a resolution-based system for distributing rewards. These details remain part of a preliminary design rather than a completed deployment, and the available coverage does not specify the contracts, governance arrangements or markets intended for the initial release.
Crypto Economy and Crypto.news agree on the proposal’s main objective, its placement on Kaspa’s base layer and the late-2026 launch target. Their emphasis differs: Crypto Economy examines the token and reward design and relays technical warnings, while Crypto.news identifies Manyfest as Kaspa forum developer Sivan Helfer and highlights the planned tradability of outcome tokens. CoinCodex’s supplied material addresses a separate 
Uniswap market outlook and contains no supporting detail on the Kaspa initiative.
The design also includes a stated concern about liquidity manipulation in smaller prediction markets, Crypto Economy reported. That warning is important to the proposal because limited liquidity can affect how reliably outcome tokens trade and how exposed participants may be to market activity that is relatively thin. The project is still at the proposal stage described by the outlets.
The broader crypto market was near flat at a $2.52 trillion total capitalization, while 
Bitcoin rose 0.52% over 24 hours and the Fear & Greed index stood at 29, indicating a Fear reading. Kaspa was priced at $0.02893287, down 2.05% over 24 hours and 9.65% over seven days, leaving its market capitalization at $804.47 million. Uniswap traded at $6.36, down 4.27% over 24 hours and 16.91% over seven days; DeFiLlama verified Uniswap TVL at $3.43 billion, down 7.7% over seven days. The proposal’s next practical markers are refinement of the preliminary mechanics, attention to the liquidity warnings and delivery against the end-2026 mainnet target.
Since this brief published about 5 hours ago, Uniswap (UNI) has moved from $6.36 to $6.18 — -2.83%.
The chart plots UNI's price: grey is the move before this brief published, the vertical dashed line marks the moment it published, the horizontal dashed line is the price then, and the coloured area is the move since — from TLT's market data (daily resolution). It shows what happened after the news, not that the news caused it; many factors move prices. Not financial advice.
At today's peer-to-peer rate, 1 UNI ≈ ₦8,636.55 (about $6.18), down 7.8% over 24 hours. The naira itself trades about 3.5% above the official rate on the P2P market, so a Nigerian buyer's effective cost differs from the headline dollar price.
Live market data
Current prices for the assets in this story — live, source-stamped, updated every 15 minutes.
Figures and sectors in this story, checked live against on-chain aggregators · November 11, 2026.
TLT reads these figures directly from on-chain aggregators (DeFiLlama, mempool.space) at build time — independent of what any outlet reported. Sector totals aggregate every protocol DeFiLlama tracks in that category. Values are live and will change.
Kaspa Proposal Seeks Ownerless Prediction Market by End of 2 — questions & answers
When is the Kaspa prediction market targeted to launch?
The preliminary proposal targets a mainnet release by the end of 2026.
What tokens would the proposed prediction market use?
Crypto Economy reports that the design uses fund-backed binary outcome tokens with equal issuance and a resolution-based reward scheme.
What risk did developers identify in the proposal?
Crypto Economy reports technical warnings about possible liquidity manipulation in smaller prediction markets.
How much is 1 Uniswap worth in naira today?
About ₦8,636.55 at the live peer-to-peer (P2P) USDT rate, which is what Nigerians typically trade at — equivalent to roughly $6.18. The naira price moves with both UNI's US-dollar price and the USDT/NGN rate; use our Uniswap in naira page for any amount.
Has Uniswap's price moved since this brief was published?
UNI is down 2.83% since this brief first published — trading at $6.18 now versus $6.36 at publication. TLT re-checks this figure against CoinGecko and Binance every 15 minutes.
Which outlets reported this story?
This is an original TLT brief that synthesises reporting from Crypto Economy, Crypto.news, CoinCodex, with the key figures cross-checked for agreement across them. It is not a copy of any one article — follow the source links above for the original reporting.
Original summary — not financial advice. This is an original TLT brief that summarises a development reported elsewhere and adds live market data for context; it is not the original article and reproduces no part of it. Follow the source link above for full details. Crypto is volatile and high-risk — always do your own research.