Introduction
NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are trading near $191.54 as of Monday, February 23, 2026, amid mounting anticipation ahead of its fiscal Q4 earnings report. The stock shows modest intraday movement, but broader market dynamics and strategic developments are shaping investor sentiment. This article delivers live updates and market performance insights, offering a clear snapshot of NVDA’s current position and what lies ahead.
Live Price Snapshot and Market Context
NVIDIA’s stock is currently priced at approximately $191.54, reflecting a slight intraday gain of around 0.9% from the previous close. The intraday trading range spans from a low of $188.81 to a high of $193.78, with trading volume exceeding 112 million shares citeturn0finance0.
This movement occurs against a backdrop of broader market volatility. President Trump’s announcement of a new 15% global tariff has pressured tech stocks, yet NVIDIA continues to outperform its peers . The company’s resilience is partly attributed to supportive developments from its supplier SK Hynix, which pledged to ramp up production of AI-specific high-bandwidth memory chips—critical for NVIDIA’s AI infrastructure .
Analyst Upgrades and Sentiment
Investor confidence is building ahead of NVIDIA’s earnings report. Aletheia Capital upgraded the stock from “hold” to “buy,” calling it “too cheap to ignore,” and set a $250 price target . GF Securities’ Jeff Pu echoed the bullish tone, raising his target to $295 . Meanwhile, Evercore ISI’s Mark Lipacis maintained an “outperform” rating with a $352 target, citing both the earnings report and the upcoming GTC keynote on March 16 as catalysts .
Despite this optimism, some caution remains. Gil Luria of D.A. Davidson notes that NVIDIA’s earnings reports may no longer move markets as strongly as before. Investor focus has shifted toward other AI leaders and concerns over opaque deals and AI hype are weighing on sentiment .
Earnings Expectations and Potential Volatility
Wall Street expects NVIDIA to report adjusted earnings of approximately $1.51–$1.53 per share on revenue between $65.9 billion and $66.1 billion for the quarter ending January 25 . Traders anticipate a potential stock swing of around 6% post-earnings, which could push the price toward $201 or down to $178 .
Strategic Developments and Market Impact
NVIDIA’s strategic moves are also influencing its stock trajectory. A revised $30 billion equity investment in OpenAI has replaced a previously proposed $100 billion deal, signaling a more immediate and focused capital commitment .
Additionally, NVIDIA’s multiyear AI infrastructure partnership with Meta Platforms is gaining traction. Meta plans to deploy millions of NVIDIA chips—including Grace and Vera CPUs, and Blackwell and Rubin GPUs—in its data centers. The announcement lifted NVIDIA’s stock and contributed to broader market gains .
Internationally, NVIDIA is pursuing a bold strategy to reach a $5 trillion market capitalization. The company is expanding its presence in India through partnerships with Wipro, Infosys, and Tech Mahindra, while also selling its stake in Arm Holdings for $140 million .
Price Trends and Forecasts
February has seen NVIDIA’s stock hover around the $188–$190 range. As of February 18, the closing price was $187.98, marking a modest 0.4% gain for the month .
AI-driven models forecast a potential rise to around $196–$198 by the end of February, representing a 4–5% upside from current levels . Technical indicators also suggest a bullish bias, with projections placing the 50-day moving average near $185.86 and the 200-day average at $172.04 by early March .
What to Watch Next
With earnings due Wednesday after market close, all eyes are on NVIDIA’s results and guidance. Key factors to monitor include:
- Actual vs. expected earnings and revenue figures
- Management’s tone on AI demand and supply chain dynamics
- Updates on Rubin GPU rollout and Meta partnership execution
- Market reaction to the OpenAI investment structure
Conclusion
NVIDIA’s stock is trading in the low $190s as of February 23, 2026, buoyed by analyst upgrades, strategic partnerships, and AI infrastructure demand. While the upcoming earnings report could trigger a 6% swing, the broader narrative remains positive. Investors will be watching closely for earnings clarity, guidance, and execution on key initiatives.