A glance at the recent data shows Pi Network’s native token (PI) trading at approximately $0.16, down around 7.3% over the last 24 hours, with a live market capitalization nearing $1.39 billion USD. Trading volume in the same window hovers around $28 million.
Despite minor fluctuations, the value remains relatively depressed compared to its historical peak near $2.98 in February 2025—a drop of more than 94%. Interestingly, even within the past day, the token touched an all-time low near $0.1527, briefly reclaiming ground—but still signaling tight price swings.
One primary force weighing on PI’s price is the rolling schedule of token unlocks. Market observers note that over 4.6 million PI tokens are entering circulation daily as of late January 2026, contributing to a supply surplus that suppresses upward momentum. The resulting oversupply, paired with muted demand, has pushed the price back toward levels reminiscent of late 2025 lows (~$0.19).
While Pi Network initially gained traction through mobile mining and viral growth, its transition to open markets has revealed deeper issues in liquidity and exchange support. Some platforms have dropped PI listings or trading pairs, disrupting easy access and limiting arbitrage—factors dampening investor confidence.
Technical traders remain cautious. A Reddit breakdown points to short-term struggles—price resistance around $0.66, Ichimoku cloud patterns favoring bearish continuation, and momentum indicators like RSI failing to hold bullish levels.
Yet, in certain bullish scenarios, a breakout above resistance might pave the way toward $0.79, $0.85, or even $1.23–$1.79, though these remain speculative unless accompanied by meaningful demand spikes.
The broader crypto ecosystem reflects a cautious stance toward Pi. Some analysts argue that despite its early hype, PI now trails other more utility-driven tokens in terms of growth potential and practical use cases.
Still, there remains a subset of optimistic forecasts. Diverging projections span from moderate rebounds toward $0.35–$0.55 by year-end to moonshot scenarios of $500–$1,000 by 2030—though the latter depends heavily on global adoption and ecosystem execution. On some forums, creative price models also explore supply-adjusted caps—one user theorized that with a circulating supply of 1.6 billion tokens (versus over 8 billion currently), an implied price of around $6 could emerge under unchanged market capitalization. But such models acknowledge strong caveats tied to liquidity and investor behavior.
“Excess supply is outpacing demand, making a price recovery challenging in the short term.”
— Alex Obchakevich, Obchakevich Research
This stark snapshot captures the central dilemma: even as the community holds onto hope, market forces—especially the flood of newly unlocked tokens—continue to exert downward pressure.
Pi Network’s price has notably retraced from its early 2025 highs, landing near $0.16 as of February 1, 2026. Persistent token unlocks, decreased exchange activity, and limited trading liquidity have weighed heavily. While technical indicators currently highlight resistance thresholds, price cliffs toward the upside are only likely if adoption and ecosystem development ramp up meaningfully.
Mixed projections persist—from modest year-end recovery to speculative long-term moonshots—but realistic expectations align more with stabilization than explosive growth under current conditions.
Looking forward, observers should watch:
The main factor is the steady daily release of freshly unlocked tokens—hovering around 4–5 million PI—into the market, overwhelming demand and creating downward price pressure.
While some forecasts suggest a potential return to $0.35–$0.55 by year-end, bold projections of $500–$1,000 hinge on widespread adoption and major ecosystem developments—and remain speculative.
Limited support on exchanges and reduced trading pairs disrupt access and market responsiveness. This reduced liquidity makes sharp price changes harder and amplifies market resistance.
Key resistance lies near $0.66, with potential retracements to $0.40–$0.54 if that level fails. Breakout above resistance could open paths to $0.79–$1.79, but confidence remains low without clear catalysts.
A sustained decrease in token unlock volume, better utility or adoption (such as DeFi integrations), and renewed exchange listings or liquidity could create positive momentum. Without these, price stagnation is likely to continue.
While theoretical models (e.g., adjusting circulating supply) offer large implied prices, such scenarios assume constant market capitalization and neglect liquidity dynamics. They’re interesting thought exercises but not practical market forecasts.
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