Introduction
Gold prices are holding firm above the $5,100 mark as markets brace for a week of potential volatility. Analysts are pointing to a mix of safe-haven demand, technical momentum, and geopolitical uncertainty as key drivers. This article breaks down the latest expert forecasts for XAU/USD, offering a clear snapshot of what traders and investors may expect in the days ahead.
What’s Driving the Gold Market Now
Gold is currently trading around $5,195 per ounce, buoyed by investor demand for safety amid global tensions and economic uncertainty. According to Traders Union, the metal has broken through resistance in the $5,100–$5,120 range and is now testing the $5,175 level. Support is seen at $5,125, with a breach potentially opening the door to $5,200. Conversely, a drop below support could lead to a slide toward $5,080–$5,060 .
Meanwhile, AI-driven forecasts from MidForex suggest a weekly trading range between approximately $4,995 and $5,015, with an average near $5,005 . These projections align with the current price action, reinforcing the view of a tight but upward-leaning consolidation.
Expert Forecasts for the Week Ahead
Traders Union (Anton Kharitonov)
- Today: XAU/USD is recovering, having broken resistance at $5,100–$5,120 and testing $5,175. Immediate support lies at $5,125 .
- Tomorrow (Feb 24): Expected range is $5,154.76 to $5,161.77, averaging around $5,158.27 .
- Midweek (Feb 26): Forecasted high reaches $5,195.10, with an average near $5,174.76 .
- End of Week (Feb 27): Prices may settle between $5,193.81 and $5,199.63, averaging $5,196.72 .
- Weekly Outlook (Mar 2–8): Projected range spans $5,274.04 to $5,766.55, averaging $5,520.30 .
MidForex AI Model
- This Week: Forecasted range is $4,994.94 to $5,014.95, with an average of $5,004.94 .
- Next Week: Expected to rise, with a range of $5,093.89 to $5,124.54 and an average near $5,109.21 .
Why This Matters Now
Gold’s current trajectory reflects a cautious optimism. Breaking above $5,100 signals renewed bullish momentum, while the tight trading range suggests traders are waiting for fresh catalysts. The divergence between the more conservative Traders Union outlook and the slightly higher MidForex projections underscores the uncertainty and the importance of short-term developments.
What to Watch This Week
- Support and Resistance: Key levels include support at $5,125 and resistance near $5,175–$5,200. A break in either direction could set the tone for the week.
- Geopolitical and Economic News: Any escalation in global tensions or surprise economic data could shift sentiment sharply.
- Technical Momentum: Sustained trading above $5,175 may pave the way toward the weekly forecast range of $5,274–$5,766.
Conclusion
Gold is navigating a narrow but upward-leaning channel this week. Traders Union sees a steady climb toward $5,200, while MidForex projects a modest rise above $5,100. The market remains sensitive to geopolitical developments and technical triggers. Watch for decisive moves around the $5,125 support and $5,175 resistance levels—these will likely shape the week’s direction.
Gold’s path this week may be cautious, but the underlying tone remains constructive.